Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.180526 0.209161 0.240858 0.278550 0.322158 0.371037 0.430007
2025-08-10 0.131980 0.169341 0.215050 0.275103 0.351981 0.447191 0.574230
2025-08-17 0.103602 0.142639 0.193818 0.265857 0.364767 0.496010 0.683787
2025-08-24 0.089335 0.130280 0.187072 0.271645 0.394596 0.567192 0.828635
2025-08-31 0.077382 0.118609 0.178651 0.272535 0.415948 0.627336 0.963775
2025-09-07 0.068751 0.110175 0.173193 0.276126 0.440481 0.693545 1.114547
2025-09-14 0.059761 0.099736 0.163015 0.270571 0.449390 0.735912 1.232237
2025-09-21 0.053038 0.091905 0.155737 0.268311 0.462609 0.785632 1.366556
2025-09-28 0.048232 0.086569 0.151736 0.270702 0.483359 0.849329 1.531009
2025-10-05 0.045921 0.085204 0.154188 0.284298 0.524707 0.952165 1.775252
2025-10-12 0.043183 0.082688 0.154232 0.293412 0.558786 1.045467 2.012579
2025-10-19 0.040499 0.079910 0.153413 0.300686 0.590026 1.136558 2.255735
2025-10-26 0.037290 0.075824 0.149839 0.302590 0.611838 1.213515 2.483317
2025-11-02 0.033755 0.070676 0.143655 0.298673 0.621825 1.268946 2.675379
2025-11-09 0.030020 0.064647 0.135001 0.288635 0.618023 1.296144 2.812134
2025-11-16 0.028303 0.062631 0.134259 0.294920 0.648868 1.397343 3.116984
2025-11-23 0.026276 0.059691 0.131228 0.295886 0.668286 1.476412 3.382764
2025-11-30 0.024696 0.057545 0.129639 0.299786 0.694497 1.572759 3.698201
2025-12-07 0.022502 0.053739 0.123961 0.293754 0.697450 1.617737 3.900700
2025-12-14 0.020791 0.050853 0.120034 0.291299 0.708358 1.681804 4.155548
2025-12-21 0.019578 0.049016 0.118324 0.293896 0.731540 1.776811 4.496294
2025-12-28 0.019219 0.049228 0.121475 0.308660 0.786043 1.952212 5.056958
2026-01-04 0.018571 0.048640 0.122622 0.318557 0.829516 2.105428 5.579541